中國對外貿(mào)易質(zhì)量剖析

摘要： 如何科學(xué)地評價中國對外貿(mào)易質(zhì)量的狀況,是制定有效政策以推進(jìn)我國對外貿(mào)易發(fā)展方式轉(zhuǎn)型的前提條件之一。本文利用經(jīng)濟(jì)理論判斷和統(tǒng)計分析相結(jié)合的方法,從世界銀行WDI數(shù)據(jù)庫中,選取并構(gòu)造了1980-2010年反映中國對外貿(mào)易狀況的6個因變量和9個自變量。通過實(shí)證分析,在靜態(tài)和動態(tài)兩個維度,描述了改革開放30多年來中國對外貿(mào)易質(zhì)量總體狀況的結(jié)構(gòu)變化特征,并提出了相關(guān)的政策建議和進(jìn)一步的研究方向。
How to assess the quality of Chinese international trade is one of the pre-requirements to promote the transformation of Chinese trade pattern.In this paper,we select 6 dependent variables of Chinese Trade Quality and their 9 determinants related variables from World Development Indicators(WDI) of the World Bank based on economic theoretical judgment and statistical analysis.With above selected data,we empirically explore the structural change patterns of Chinese trade quality since 1980 in static and dynamic perspective.We also give some policy suggestions based on our analysis.We discussed further research direction for the future at the end.