中國(guó)季度GDP初步數(shù)據(jù)優(yōu)良性檢驗(yàn)
統(tǒng)計(jì)研究
頁(yè)數(shù)： 5 2013-11-15
摘要： 本文以2004-2011年中國(guó)GDP季度初步數(shù)據(jù)為研究對(duì)象,對(duì)這一時(shí)期中國(guó)季度GDP初步數(shù)據(jù)的優(yōu)良性進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析。研究表明,這一時(shí)期,中國(guó)季度GDP初步核算數(shù)據(jù)具備無(wú)偏性,但顯著不滿足有效性。然而,得益于GDP修訂程序,季度GDP初步核實(shí)數(shù)據(jù)的無(wú)偏性和有效性均得到了顯著提高。 This paper empirically analyzed the superiority of China's preliminary data of quarterly GDP during 2004-2011. Results suggested that China's preliminary accounting data of quarterly GDP was unbiased but inefficient. However,due to GDP revision process,the unbiasedness and efficiency of preliminary verified GDP were improved significantly.
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