基于貝葉斯網(wǎng)絡(luò)的PPP項(xiàng)目收益風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分擔(dān)決策研究
建筑經(jīng)濟(jì)
頁(yè)數(shù): 9 2023-10-05
摘要: 收益風(fēng)險(xiǎn)是當(dāng)前階段我國(guó)PPP項(xiàng)目提前終止的首要非系統(tǒng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素?;陲L(fēng)險(xiǎn)決策理論和政企合作關(guān)系屬性,結(jié)合工程實(shí)際案例統(tǒng)計(jì)分析建立PPP項(xiàng)目收益風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分擔(dān)決策致因模型,并由德爾菲方法確定收益風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分擔(dān)決策的因素清單,在此基礎(chǔ)上利用貝葉斯推理原理和GeNIe工具提煉PPP項(xiàng)目收益風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分擔(dān)決策的最敏感因素,并對(duì)營(yíng)商環(huán)境、伙伴協(xié)同能力和收益風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分擔(dān)決策之間的作用關(guān)系進(jìn)行仿真計(jì)算與討論,探究P...