“保險(xiǎn)+期貨”試點(diǎn)能否促進(jìn)縣域農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)?
農(nóng)林經(jīng)濟(jì)管理學(xué)報(bào)
頁(yè)數(shù): 11 2024-11-07
摘要: 基于2012—2021年中國(guó)146個(gè)縣域面板數(shù)據(jù),將“保險(xiǎn)+期貨”試點(diǎn)項(xiàng)目的開(kāi)展視為準(zhǔn)自然實(shí)驗(yàn),運(yùn)用漸進(jìn)雙重差分法評(píng)估“保險(xiǎn)+期貨”對(duì)縣域農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響。結(jié)果表明:“保險(xiǎn)+期貨”試點(diǎn)能夠顯著促進(jìn)縣域農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)且具有長(zhǎng)期經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)效應(yīng),這一結(jié)論在進(jìn)行PSM-DID回歸、安慰劑檢驗(yàn)和培根分解等一系列穩(wěn)健性檢驗(yàn)后仍然成立。調(diào)節(jié)機(jī)制分析表明,農(nóng)地經(jīng)營(yíng)規(guī)模與農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化可以在“保險(xiǎn)+期... (共11頁(yè))